WALE WATCH

Fresh information to help you navigate financial markets, by a pod of seasoned farers of the sea of stocks and markets. Worth a look every day.

Last updated -  

March 12, 2025

Large Cap Wales 🐳

Description
Daily Gain
Last Trade
Wale Score
RH
-0.0122
230.57
5
SPHERE ENTERTAINMENT CO
-0.0351
31.64
5
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL CO
0.0144
56.51
4.75
BANK OF HAWAII CORP
0.0144
67.34
4.75
CHOICE HOTELS INTL INC
-0.0784
133.21
4.75

Small Cap Wales 🐳

Description
Daily Gain
Last Trade
Wale Score
AIRSCULPT TECHNOLOGIES INC
-0.1145
2.94
4.75
GENESCO INC
-0.104
20.17
4.75
BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC
-0.05
36.09
4.5
FUNKO INC-CLASS A
-0.0351
7.42
4.5
JOINT CORP/THE
-0.0278
10.49
4.5

Last updated -  

March 12, 2025

read the full wale report below 👇

ocean view: choppy🌊

ocean view: Stormy⛈️

ocean view: calm🏝️

Another rollercoaster ride in yesterday's session as the President tripled down (is that even a thing?) on Canadian metal tariffs. Markets responded by selling--everything but tech, which turned around later in the session to lead the indexes off their lows. Canada backed off of its "power tax" and Trump pulled back from his 50% metal tariff.

wale watch 🐳🧐

Some interesting finds from our WALE Report algo

($RH) RH

RH got wrecked on March 11, tanking 10.2% 📉 as markets spiraled and consumer spending fears grew. Wedbush slashed FY2025 EPS estimates to $4.33 (vs. $4.39 consensus). The next earnings drop is March 26, where Wall Street expects $1.90 EPS, a YoY decline. Sentiment is looking shaky for luxury furniture.

($SPHR) SPHR

Sphere Entertainment 🎡 flopped on earnings, posting a $3.49/share loss—a $1.01 miss—but revenue beat at $308.29M. CEO James Dolan is still bullish on Sphere's expansion, but analysts remain cautiously optimistic 🧐. Price target sits at $50.75, with a mixed bag of Buy, Hold, and Sell ratings.

($ALGT) ALGT

Allegiant Travel ✈️ absolutely crushed Q4 earnings, posting $2.10 EPS vs. the $0.48 estimate. FY25 airline-only EPS guidance came in at $9.00, a 50%+ YoY jump. But the stock still dropped 20% in a month as investors worry that planned 17% capacity growth could hurt pricing. Sky-high risk?

($BOH) BOH

Bank of Hawaii 🌴 posted $0.85 EPS, beating estimates (barely). Net interest margin edged up to 2.19% in Q4. Wall Street isn’t buying the island vibes—BOH has a "Reduce" rating, with a $73 price target (only 4.71% upside). Not exactly a high-energy banking play.

($CHH) CHH

Choice Hotels 🏨 flexed +16% net income, +22% EPS for FY24, but its FY25 guidance is looking a little too ambitious 😬. Targeting $625-640M EBITDA, but analysts are skeptical. Stock dipped 6% last week, likely caught in the broader market mess and growth concerns.

($AIRS) AIRS

AirSculpt 🏥 reports Q4 results on March 14, but the stock has already dropped 13%+ this week amid market jitters. Analysts are sitting on the fence with a "Hold" rating and a $5.75 price target (20% upside). Could be primed for a squeeze or just more pain.

($GCO) GCO

Genesco 👟 beat Q4 EPS at $3.26 but missed on revenue ($746M). Journeys crushed it with +14% comp sales, and e-commerce was up 18%. FY26 guidance is pretty meh, forecasting flat to +1% sales growth and $1.30-$1.70 EPS. Not exactly a moonshot.

($BBW) BBW

Build-A-Bear 🧸 (BBW) got a "Strong Buy" from Small Cap Consumer Research with a $58 price target (38% upside). Meanwhile, Bath & Body Works 🕯️ (BBWI) reaffirmed 1-3% growth guidance for 2025, with EPS $3.25-$3.60. Retail sector vibes are iffy, but BBW keeps stuffing those bears.

($FNKO) FNKO

Funko 🧸 beat Q4 EPS but tanked on weak 2025 revenue guidance ($1.05-$1.08B). DA Davidson slashed its price target from $16 ➡️ $13 but kept a Buy 🧐. The stock is down 40% since Jan, with analysts blaming consumer demand struggles + tariff worries. Feels like a collector’s item for the brave.

($JYNT) JYNT

The Joint Corp. 🦴 is set to report Q4 earnings on March 13, with analysts expecting $0.06 EPS. The stock carries a "Buy" rating, with a $17.50 price target (50%+ upside). Last quarter, it crushed estimates ($0.04 EPS vs. $0.01 expected). Could be a sleeper hit.

Market Currents 🌊

Headlines & market moves worth watching

Euro Surges on Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal; Tariffs Squeeze Stocks

Source: Reuters, March 12, 2025
The euro reached five-month highs as Ukraine agreed to a U.S.-proposed month-long ceasefire, boosting European equity futures. However, U.S. markets remained volatile due to ongoing tariff concerns, with the S&P 500 closing 0.8% lower amid fears of an economic slowdown.
(Link: https://www.reuters.com/markets/global-markets-wrapup-1-2025-03-12/)​:contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}

Stock Market Bloodbath: Will Central Banks Pivot to Prevent Recession?

Source: The Courier-Mail, March 12, 2025
Global stock markets and cryptocurrencies have plunged amid economic turmoil sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs, raising concerns about a potential recession. Central banks face pressure to adjust monetary policies to avert a global financial crisis, with some already implementing rate cuts and quantitative easing.
(Link: https://www.couriermail.com.au/business/qld-business/stock-market-bloodbath-will-central-banks-pivot-to-prevent-recession/news-story/645471ae5695e02bc90385aea6b4f503)​:contentReference[oaicite:7]{index=7}

Goldman Sachs Rebrands 'Magnificent 7' as 'Maleficent 7' Amid Market Correction

Source: Financial Times, March 12, 2025
Goldman Sachs has rebranded the "Magnificent 7" mega-cap tech stocks as the "Maleficent 7" following a steep market correction driven by the trade war. Despite a significant drop in consumer confidence and bearish market sentiment, Goldman remains cautiously optimistic, predicting a 10% rise in the S&P 500 to 6,200.
(Link: https://www.ft.com/content/d8772ea6-ce65-47ba-bd3b-31758cf7c135)​:contentReference[oaicite:11]{index=11}

Asian Shares Mixed After Wall Street's Sharp Decline

Source: Associated Press, March 12, 2025
Asian markets showed mixed results as investors assessed escalated tariffs that briefly caused the S&P 500 to drop more than 10% below its record high. Japan's Nikkei 225 remained stable, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite declined. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.1%, reflecting investor apprehension about global trade and economic stability.
(Link: https://apnews.com/article/212a4d57c910a468b4c9eeb8757e49ea)​:contentReference[oaicite:16]{index=16}

Wall Street Feels the Absence of Mnuchin in Trump's Second Term

Source: Business Insider, March 12, 2025
Wall Street is experiencing turmoil during President Trump's second term, leading to increased nostalgia for former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. The current administration's aggressive tariff policies and moves on immigration have created uncertainty and fears of a recession, causing significant unease among investors.
(Link: https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-stock-market-crash-recession-wall-street-steven-mnuchin-bessent-2025-3)​:contentReference[oaicite:20]{index=20}

Memetic Research 🤿

Headlines & market moves worth watching